2011. The final version of this paper is Democracy and capitalist revolution,but I decided to conserve this earlier version. (Working Paper EESP/FGV 149, month???)
OTHER TYPES OF WORKS
WORKING PAPERS
2019. Com Luiz Fernando de Paula e Miguel Bruno. English version available.
2018. Rentiers, the inheritors of the entrepreneurs, and financiers, a special type of technobureaucrats, are the fuling classes in contemporary capitalism; neoliberalism is their ideology. The financiers manage the wealth of the idle rentiers and act as organic intellectuals of this very narrow class coalition. (Discussion Paper)
2018. A retention or tax on the export of commodities will neutralize the Dutch disease and assure to the manufacturing industry equal conditions in the competion with other countries. The tax will not represent a buden to the exporters, because they receive back their money on the form of depreciation of the real. (Working Paper EESP/FGV 476)
2017. Rentier-financier capitalism is in economic crisis since 2008 and in political crisis since 2016. The secular stagnation issue was brought again to the fore, in so far as capitalism turned again liberal (instead of developmental) since 1980. But it is more likely that rich countries will face low growth, financial instability, and increasing inequality, unless they are able to criticize economic liberalism. (Paper for Berlin conference)
2016. Against conventional wisdom, countries that don't incur into current account deficits grow faster, because such deficits correspond to an overvalued currency that encourages consumption and discourages investment. (Paper)
2017. The Dutch disease is an economic problem that a simple economic policy may resolve, while the natural resource curse is a political-cultural problem very difficult to resolve. Paper presented in St. Petersburg.
2017. Em países em desenvolvimento a sofisticação produtiva e o aumento da produtividade podem ser melhor explicados pela transferência de trabalhadores e técnicos para os setores mais sofisticados, do que pelos rendimentos crescentes, que são mais relevantes para os países ricos.
2015. Countries turn consolidated democracies after their industrial revolution which they made in authoritarian regimes. Today, pre-industrial countries are supposed to be democratic before their industrial revolutions.
2014. Countries turn consolidated democracies after their industrial revolution which they made in authoritarian regimes. Today, pre-industrial countries are supposed to be democratic before their industrial revolutions. (EESP/FGV discussion paper 367)
2016. All industrial revolutions happened in the framework of a developmental state. We can distinguish in history four basic models of developmental state. Portuguese version available.(Texto p/ Discussão)
2015. New Developmentalism is a theory that was preceded by Classical Developmentalism. It focuses on the equilibrium of five macroeconomic prices, and of the two macro accounts, particularly the current or external account.
2015. With Fernando Rugitsky. Classical Developmentalism (Prebisch et al.) was skeptical in relation to exchange rate policy, preferring industrial policy on the form of high import taxes, while for New Developmentalism the neutralization of the tendency to the cyclical and chronic overvaluation of the exchange rate is the key policy to be adopted. (Paper Cambridge Journal of Economics)
2016 (To be published - TD-413)
2016. All industrial revolutions happened in the framework of a developmental state. We can distinguish in history four basic models of developmental state. (Paper to be published - TD-412). English version available.
2016. This paper, first, situates the nation-state historically, as a product of the capitalist revolution. Second, it distinguishes the state (the law system and the organization that guarantees it) from the nation-state or country (the territorial political unit formed by a nation, a state and a territory). Third, it defines nation, civil society and class coalitions, understanding that they are forms of society politically organized, which role is to act as intermediary between society and the state. Fourth, it uses these concepts plus the ones of relative autonomy and of anteriority to understand the ever changing relation between the state and society, where in early moments the state or its elites assumed the lead, and later, as democratization takes place, the protagonist role changed gradually to the people. The paper emphasizes the class coalitions, and argues that behind the two basic forms or economic and political organization of capitalism - developmentalism and economic liberalism - there are the correspondent class coalitions.
2015. Texto para Discussão 399. The Brazilian economy is quasi stagnant from 1990, because since the 1980s it dos not have public savings to finance public investments, and because, since 1990, it is caught in a high interest rate-overvalued currency trap that makes the competent industrial firms not competitive and unable to invest. (Discussion paper). More actualized version available.
2015. Texto para Discussão. Existe versão atualizada de 2017 After the demise of neoliberalism, a third developmental capitalism?
2015. With Marcus Ianoni. A theoretical discussion of developmental class coalitions, and its application in three experiences: mercantilism, Bismarkism, and the Golden Years of Capitalism. (Paper to be published in edited book - Texto para Discussão EESP/FGV n. 386)